SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 22.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose |
55.07% ( -0.16) | 22.45% ( 0.05) | 22.48% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.75% ( -0.14) | 42.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.34% ( -0.14) | 64.66% ( 0.13) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.75% ( -0.1) | 15.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.06% ( -0.19) | 43.94% ( 0.19) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( 0.01) | 32.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.92% ( 0.02) | 69.08% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 55.07% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.48% |
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