SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 49%. A win for Larne had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Larne |
49% ( -0.21) | 24.11% ( 0.23) | 26.89% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( -1.02) | 45.45% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( -0.98) | 67.78% ( 0.98) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( -0.48) | 18.63% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.06% ( -0.81) | 49.94% ( 0.81) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.55) | 30.63% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -0.65) | 66.88% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.34% Total : 49% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 26.89% |
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