SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunkerque | Draw | Caen |
32.56% ( -0.89) | 25.95% ( 0.07) | 41.48% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% ( -0.54) | 50.56% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% ( -0.48) | 72.47% ( 0.48) |
| Dunkerque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -0.84) | 29.24% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% ( -1.04) | 65.19% ( 1.04) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0.17) | 24.13% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% ( 0.25) | 58.43% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunkerque | Draw | Caen |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.48% |
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