SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
44.79% ( -0.59) | 23.93% ( 0.25) | 31.27% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 60.03% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.95% ( -1) | 42.04% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.55% ( -1.02) | 64.45% ( 1.02) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.64) | 19% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.44% ( -1.08) | 50.55% ( 1.09) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0.28) | 25.88% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( -0.38) | 60.87% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.79% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.27% |
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