SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (8.04%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Queen of the South in this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
22.77% ( 0.2) | 21.55% ( 0.11) | 55.68% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 60.76% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.31% ( -0.29) | 37.68% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.07% ( -0.31) | 59.92% ( 0.31) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( 0.01) | 29.75% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( 0.01) | 65.82% ( -0.01) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( -0.19) | 13.5% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.47% ( -0.38) | 40.53% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 22.77% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0)0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.67% Total : 55.68% |
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