Atletico have arguably been the best La Liga team since the turn of the year, and they will be looking to finish the season strongly with a view to claiming second. Elche are now playing under no pressure, which should help them, but we are struggling to predict anything other than a comfortable away success here.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Elche had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.3) 
