SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Peterhead |
32.38% ( 0.03) | 25.76% ( -0.01) | 41.86% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.19% ( 0.03) | 49.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( 0.03) | 71.81% ( -0.03) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( 0.04) | 28.99% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( 0.05) | 64.89% ( -0.05) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0) | 23.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( -0) | 57.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.38% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.86% |
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