SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
38.01% ( -0) | 25.74% ( -0) | 36.25% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( 0.02) | 49.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( 0.01) | 71.11% ( -0.01) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( 0.01) | 25.26% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.98% ( 0) | 60.02% ( -0) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( 0.01) | 26.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% ( 0.02) | 61.35% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 36.25% |
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