Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 5 | 14 | 13 |
2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Ukraine | 5 | -1 | 7 |
4 | North Macedonia | 5 | -5 | 7 |
5 | Malta | 5 | -10 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 77.13%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Australia had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.46%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
Result | ||
England | Draw | Australia |
77.13% ( 0.16) | 14.57% ( -0.08) | 8.3% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 47.76% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.09% ( 0.1) | 35.91% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42% ( 0.1) | 58% ( -0.1) |
England Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.37% ( 0.06) | 7.63% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.75% ( 0.14) | 27.25% ( -0.14) |
Australia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.71% ( -0.12) | 48.29% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.56% ( -0.09) | 83.44% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
England | Draw | Australia |
2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% 6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 77.12% | 1-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 14.57% | 0-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 8.3% |
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