Although Australia have made some notable improvements under the guidance of Graham Arnold, we expect to Socceroos to fall short against Mexico, who boast a markedly stronger squad in every department.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Australia had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.29%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
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