SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Alcorcon |
48.19% ( 1.57) | 26.34% ( 0.64) | 25.46% ( -2.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( -3.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.44% ( -3.88) | 55.55% ( 3.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.27% ( -3.27) | 76.73% ( 3.27) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( -0.93) | 23.08% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.08% ( -1.38) | 56.92% ( 1.38) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% ( -3.91) | 37.22% ( 3.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.99% ( -4.08) | 74.01% ( 4.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 12.59% ( 1.47) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.85)2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.34)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.77% Total : 48.19% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 1.21)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.56)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.57)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.44)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.37)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.25)Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.46% |
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