SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 14.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal II |
64.3% ( 0.08) | 21.04% ( -0.04) | 14.65% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( 0.11) | 48.2% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% ( 0.1) | 70.35% ( -0.1) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.72% ( 0.06) | 14.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.93% ( 0.12) | 42.07% ( -0.12) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.12% ( 0.01) | 44.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.16% ( 0.01) | 80.84% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 64.29% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.35% Total : 14.65% |
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