It will be interesting to see how Santa Clara start the season after an impressive Liga Portugal 2 campaign. However, Estoril were a difficult team to beat on their home patch last season and we feel they will get the new off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Santa Clara
27.14% ( -0.57)	27.17% ( -0.04)	45.7% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 47.26% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.47% (

-0.15)

57.53% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

-0.12)

78.32% (

0.12)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.12% (

-0.54)

36.88% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.33% (

-0.55)

73.67% (

0.55)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87% (

0.23)

25.13% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.16% (

0.32)

59.84% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 27.14%

Santa Clara 45.69%

Draw 27.16%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 27.14%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.69%