SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Everton had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
26.46% ( -0.82) | 23.95% ( 0.07) | 49.58% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( -0.94) | 45.09% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( -0.91) | 67.44% ( 0.92) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( -1.11) | 30.78% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( -1.33) | 67.04% ( 1.34) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.07) | 18.27% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.68% ( -0.12) | 49.32% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.46% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.58% |
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