SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr United |
50.32% ( 1.69) | 24.06% ( -0.29) | 25.62% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( 0.16) | 46.22% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( 0.16) | 68.51% ( -0.16) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( 0.73) | 18.41% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.43% ( 1.23) | 49.56% ( -1.24) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -1.02) | 32.04% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.49% ( -1.17) | 68.51% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.64% Total : 25.62% |
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