SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | NEC |
54.47% ( -0.03) | 21.17% ( 0.16) | 24.36% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 64.24% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.97% ( -0.89) | 34.03% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.1% ( -1.02) | 55.9% ( 1.03) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.35% ( -0.3) | 12.65% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.2% ( -0.64) | 38.8% ( 0.65) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( -0.57) | 26.46% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.36% ( -0.77) | 61.64% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.47% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.36% |
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