SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
66.83% ( 0.08) | 18.66% ( 0.07) | 14.51% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.15% ( -0.69) | 37.85% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.9% ( -0.74) | 60.1% ( 0.75) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.52% ( -0.17) | 10.48% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.89% ( -0.39) | 34.11% ( 0.39) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.35% ( -0.65) | 38.65% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.61% ( -0.63) | 75.39% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.63% Total : 66.83% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.92% Total : 14.51% |
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