Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fenix in this match.
Result | ||
Fenix | Draw | River Plate |
36.18% ( 0.02) | 29.43% ( 0.09) | 34.39% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 43.65% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.71% ( -0.3) | 63.29% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.32% ( -0.22) | 82.67% ( 0.21) |
Fenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.67% ( -0.14) | 33.33% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.05% ( -0.16) | 69.95% ( 0.16) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.47% ( -0.23) | 34.52% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.76% ( -0.25) | 71.24% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Fenix | Draw | River Plate |
1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.17% | 1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.38% |
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