Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
