SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.91%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Penarol |
16.03% ( -0.09) | 24.86% ( -0.07) | 59.11% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 39.85% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.1% ( 0.09) | 59.9% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.84% ( 0.07) | 80.16% ( -0.07) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.98% ( -0.07) | 50.02% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.33% ( -0.04) | 84.67% ( 0.05) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.73% ( 0.1) | 20.27% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.38% ( 0.16) | 52.62% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 16.03% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 16.18% 0-2 @ 12.91% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.87% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 59.11% |
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