Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Danubio | 26 | 3 | 39 |
10 | Fenix | 25 | -1 | 38 |
11 | Montevideo City Torque | 26 | -5 | 26 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Deportivo Maldonado | 25 | 4 | 40 |
6 | River Plate | 25 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Montevideo Wanderers | 25 | 9 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 35.31%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (12.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fenix | Draw | River Plate |
35.31% ( -1.29) | 29.49% ( 0.16) | 35.2% ( 1.13) |
Both teams to score 43.52% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.54% ( -0.47) | 63.46% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.2% ( -0.34) | 82.8% ( 0.34) |
Fenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.01% ( -1.09) | 33.99% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.33% ( -1.2) | 70.67% ( 1.2) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.93% ( 0.52) | 34.07% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.24% ( 0.55) | 70.76% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Fenix | Draw | River Plate |
1-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.31% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.48% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.2% |
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