SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | River Plate |
32.75% ( -0.35) | 27.61% ( 0.13) | 39.64% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.91% ( -0.56) | 57.09% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.04% ( -0.45) | 77.97% ( 0.45) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -0.52) | 32.41% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( -0.59) | 68.93% ( 0.59) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.15) | 28.12% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.19) | 63.79% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.64% |
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