SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fenix |
29.64% ( -0.01) | 28.6% ( -0.02) | 41.76% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.73% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.58% ( 0.05) | 61.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.69% ( 0.04) | 81.31% ( -0.04) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% ( 0.02) | 36.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.22% ( 0.02) | 73.78% ( -0.02) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( 0.04) | 29.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( 0.05) | 64.91% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.63% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.59% | 0-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 0)1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 41.76% |
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