SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
54.71% ( -0.4) | 23.53% ( 0.23) | 21.75% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.2% ( -0.81) | 47.79% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.01% ( -0.75) | 69.98% ( 0.74) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( -0.44) | 17.34% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.26% ( -0.77) | 47.73% ( 0.77) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% ( -0.3) | 36.32% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.89% ( -0.3) | 73.1% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.72% Total : 54.71% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.75% |
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