Tipped as major contenders to PSV's quest for consecutive league titles, both Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar have not lived up to expectations this season, but a victory in this weekend's meeting could serve as a turning point.
We expect an open and end-to-end affair with the hosts just about edging their visitors in the end.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.