SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Utrecht |
67.06% ( 0.05) | 17.15% ( 0.03) | 15.79% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.42% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.58% ( -0.31) | 27.42% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.99% ( -0.39) | 48.01% ( 0.39) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.36% ( -0.07) | 7.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.72% ( -0.18) | 27.28% ( 0.18) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.29) | 30.25% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( -0.35) | 66.42% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.83% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 67.06% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 17.15% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 15.79% |
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