SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
63.54% ( 0.41) | 18.71% ( 0.01) | 17.74% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 62.71% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.59% ( -0.82) | 31.41% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.12% ( -0.97) | 52.87% ( 0.97) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.52% ( -0.14) | 9.47% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.2% ( -0.32) | 31.79% ( 0.32) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( -0.94) | 30.73% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( -1.12) | 66.99% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.93% Total : 63.54% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.71% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.42% Total : 17.74% |
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