SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
43.38% ( -0.16) | 25.19% ( 0.02) | 31.42% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( -0.01) | 47.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( -0.01) | 69.88% ( 0.01) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% ( -0.07) | 21.95% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.76% ( -0.12) | 55.24% ( 0.12) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( 0.09) | 28.56% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.65% ( 0.12) | 64.35% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 43.39% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.42% |
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