Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
0.66) 
-0.26) 
