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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 62.86%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.8% and a draw had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (4.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
18.8% ( 0.13) | 18.34% ( 0.02) | 62.86% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 66.46% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.38% ( 0.14) | 27.62% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.73% ( 0.17) | 48.26% ( -0.18) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.21) | 27.31% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.24% ( 0.27) | 62.76% ( -0.27) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.44% ( 0.01) | 8.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.39% ( 0.02) | 29.61% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.29% Total : 18.8% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 18.34% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 2.27% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.83% Total : 62.86% |
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