SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
49.88% ( -0.42) | 23.54% ( 0.11) | 26.58% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.83% ( -0.28) | 43.17% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.43% ( -0.28) | 65.56% ( 0.28) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( -0.27) | 17.42% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.14% ( -0.47) | 47.86% ( 0.46) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( 0.08) | 29.67% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( 0.1) | 65.72% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.88% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
