SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Germany had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Germany win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Germany |
54.1% ( -0.1) | 23.22% ( 0.04) | 22.68% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.58% ( -0.13) | 45.41% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.25% ( -0.13) | 67.75% ( 0.12) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( -0.08) | 16.7% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.41% ( -0.15) | 46.59% ( 0.15) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% ( -0.02) | 34.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% ( -0.02) | 70.81% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| France | Draw | Germany |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.1% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.68% |
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