SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-3 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Fulham win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Manchester City |
15.44% ( -0.14) | 17.68% ( -0.03) | 66.87% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.28% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.1% ( -0.14) | 30.89% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.73% ( -0.16) | 52.26% ( 0.16) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.25) | 32.96% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% ( -0.27) | 69.54% ( 0.27) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.41% ( -0) | 8.58% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.34% ( -0) | 29.66% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 15.44% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.68% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 4.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.34% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 66.87% |
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