SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Bayern Munich |
28.69% ( 0.04) | 22.83% ( 0) | 48.47% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.37% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.73% ( 0) | 38.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.45% ( 0) | 60.54% ( -0.01) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( 0.03) | 25.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( 0.03) | 60.55% ( -0.04) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( -0.02) | 16.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.49% ( -0.03) | 45.5% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.69% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 48.47% |
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