Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
0.34) 
-0.04) 
