Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
0.46) 
-0.11) 
