SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Gent had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Gent |
41.39% ( 0.04) | 24.46% ( 0.09) | 34.16% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.28% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.48) | 43.5% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.1% ( -0.47) | 65.9% ( 0.47) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -0.18) | 21.11% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( -0.29) | 53.94% ( 0.29) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( -0.3) | 24.85% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( -0.42) | 59.45% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.39% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.16% |
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