It is unclear how Vieira's arrival at Genoa affects Sunday's outcome, especially given their winless home form. However, they should avoid losing to fellow strugglers Cagliari on the Frenchman's managerial bow in Italian football. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Cagliari
39.07% ( -0.5)	27.63% ( 0.11)	33.29% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.89% (

-0.36)

57.1% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.02% (

-0.28)

77.98% (

0.28)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

-0.45)

28.45% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79% (

-0.57)

64.21% (

0.57)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

0.08)

32.05% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

0.09)

68.52% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Genoa 39.07%

Cagliari 33.29%

Draw 27.63%

Genoa	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.07%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.29%