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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
IL

Genoa
2 - 2
Inter Milan

Vogliacco (20'), Messias (90+5')
Gilardino (53'), Gollini (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Thuram (30', 82')
Mkhitaryan (16'), Gilardino (61'), Asllani (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Reggiana
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Genoa 0-2 Inter Milan

Inter have won each of their last five Serie A openers, and having opted for continuity this summer, they should make it six against a Genoa side lacking last season's main men up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawInter Milan
29.58% (0.694 0.69) 25.3% (0.22 0.22) 45.12% (-0.913 -0.91)
Both teams to score 54.43% (-0.291 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (-0.574 -0.57)48.97% (0.573 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (-0.524 -0.52)71.05% (0.524 0.52)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (0.20200000000001 0.2)30.48% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (0.24 0.24)66.69% (-0.24000000000001 -0.24)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)21.7% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14% (-0.999 -1)54.85% (0.998 1)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 29.58%
    Inter Milan 45.11%
    Draw 25.3%
GenoaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.227 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 12% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.67% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Reggiana
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Monaco 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, August 4 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brescia 2-0 Genoa
Thursday, August 1 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Genoa 3-2 Mantova
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Venezia 1-3 Genoa
Saturday, July 20 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Fassa Calcio 1-17 Genoa
Sunday, July 14 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-2 Al Ittihad
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Pisa 1-1 Inter Milan
Friday, August 2 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Pergolettese
Monday, July 22 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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