SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Mechelen |
62.58% ( -0.03) | 19.44% ( 0.01) | 17.97% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.36% ( -0.02) | 34.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.42% ( -0.02) | 56.58% ( 0.02) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.37% ( -0.01) | 10.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.55% ( -0.03) | 34.45% ( 0.03) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( 0) | 32.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( 0) | 69.01% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 4.05% Total : 62.58% | 1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.44% | 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.06% 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 17.97% |
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