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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
25.11% ( -0.23) | 24.27% ( -0.01) | 50.62% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( -0.16) | 47.57% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -0.15) | 69.77% ( 0.15) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( -0.28) | 33.18% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.21% ( -0.31) | 69.78% ( 0.31) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( 0.03) | 18.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.76% ( 0.05) | 50.24% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 25.11% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 50.61% |
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