Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
-0.08) 
0.09) 
