SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
36.91% ( 0.11) | 23.79% ( 0.03) | 39.3% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 62.26% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.16% ( -0.12) | 39.83% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( -0.13) | 62.19% ( 0.13) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% | 21.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.18% ( -0) | 54.82% ( 0) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -0.12) | 20.51% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.99% ( -0.19) | 53% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.3% |
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