SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Cliftonville |
34.32% ( 1.09) | 26.1% ( -0.04) | 39.57% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% ( 0.36) | 50.8% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% ( 0.32) | 72.69% ( -0.32) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( 0.86) | 28.24% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.05% ( 1.08) | 63.94% ( -1.08) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.39) | 25.22% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( -0.54) | 59.97% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.32% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.57% |
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