SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Southport had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Southport win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Southport |
58.3% ( -0.04) | 21.12% ( 0.02) | 20.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.09) | 38.55% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( -0.09) | 60.85% ( 0.09) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( -0.04) | 13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.48% ( -0.08) | 39.52% ( 0.08) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0.04) | 32.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.31% ( -0.04) | 68.69% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Southport |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.93% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.71% Total : 58.3% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 20.58% |
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