SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | Lahti |
35.98% ( -0.16) | 25.88% ( 0.42) | 38.14% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( -1.88) | 49.65% ( 1.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( -1.71) | 71.67% ( 1.71) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( -0.98) | 26.7% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( -1.31) | 61.95% ( 1.31) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -1) | 25.47% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% ( -1.39) | 60.31% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.16% Total : 35.98% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.15% |
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