Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
29.19% ( 0.78) | 24.93% ( 0.18) | 45.87% ( -0.96) |
Both teams to score 55.41% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.41% ( -0.34) | 47.58% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% ( -0.32) | 69.79% ( 0.32) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% ( 0.38) | 30.04% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.83% ( 0.46) | 66.17% ( -0.46) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.21% ( -0.56) | 20.79% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.56% ( -0.88) | 53.44% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.87% |
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