Two of the last three La Liga meetings between these two teams have finished all square, and we are backing another draw here. Rayo were excellent in their campaign opener, but Granada will have home advantage, and we are expecting the points to be shared in this encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.18) 
