Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Grimsby Town in this match.
-0.08) 
0.01) 
