SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Chesterfield |
33.51% ( -0.06) | 24.18% ( -0.04) | 42.3% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.08% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( 0.17) | 42.37% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( 0.17) | 64.77% ( -0.17) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.04) | 24.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.77% ( 0.06) | 59.22% ( -0.06) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% ( 0.11) | 20.21% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.47% ( 0.19) | 52.52% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.3% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
